B(c)S Comentary

The Road to the BCS Championship

The new BSC rules have put a lot weight on the polls. What is interesting is that a team may be ranked #3 in both polls but could be only a fraction behind in total number of votes. Then the computers will come into play.

UF will probably need to go undefeated but if they do they do they have no worries as long as they stay number #1 in the polls. UF's opponents have done better than expected (except FSU) and UF's projected SOS has risen from about the mid 50s a few weeks ago to 29th this week. This means UF's computer ranking will also be better meaning they might be able to afford a regular season loss and still get in.
Key Games: Bama Odds:65%

Texas also controlls their own destiny if they win out. Their projected SOS has weakened in the last few weeks and they may get in a close race with Iowa if they win out.With their projected strong computer ranking they are in good shape even with one loss. Unlike Florida.
Key Games: Kan, at TAM, B12 CG Odds: 55%

Bama controlls their own destiny as they will get a shot at UF again if both teams make the SEC CG. They have a good projected computer component so even if they lose one (before the SEC CG) they will be a strong contender among the one loss teams.
Key Games: UF Odds: 65%

Still needs several upsets from UF, UA, UT, UI, USC.
Key Games: WV, at Pitt Odds:10%

Still needs several upsets from UF, UA, UT, UI, USC.
Key Games: Utah Odds:10%

Boise's schedule is doing them no favors. They need to go undefeated and have only a couple of teams with one loss or less.
Key Games: is 6-1 Idaho a key game? Odds:5%

Others

Last Updated: Nov 15

	UF will probably need to go undefeated but if they do they do they have no worries as long as they stay number #1 in the polls. UF's opponents have done better than expected (except FSU) and UF's projected SOS has risen from about the mid 50s a few weeks ago to 29th this week. This means UF's computer ranking will also be better meaning they might be able to afford a regular season loss and still get in. Key Games: Bama Odds:65%
	Texas also controlls their own destiny if they win out. Their projected SOS has weakened in the last few weeks and they may get in a close race with Iowa if they win out.With their projected strong computer ranking they are in good shape even with one loss. Unlike Florida. Key Games: Kan, at TAM, B12 CG Odds: 55%
	Bama controlls their own destiny as they will get a shot at UF again if both teams make the SEC CG. They have a good projected computer component so even if they lose one (before the SEC CG) they will be a strong contender among the one loss teams. Key Games: UF Odds: 65%
	Still needs several upsets from UF, UA, UT, UI, USC. Key Games: WV, at Pitt Odds:10%
	Still needs several upsets from UF, UA, UT, UI, USC. Key Games: Utah Odds:10%
	Boise's schedule is doing them no favors. They need to go undefeated and have only a couple of teams with one loss or less. Key Games: is 6-1 Idaho a key game? Odds:5%